A new season of the English Premier League starts on Saturday, and the interwebs are full of previews and predictions of what will happen over the next nine months. I’ll leave the previews to the journalists, but I will present expectations of the final league table here.A lot of people are visiting this site for the first […]
We move on from England to the other domestic leagues that make up the European Big Five — Spain, France, Italy, and Germany. The format is the same as before in which we post the pre-season projections, the final table, and a statistical summary of the predictive quality of our forecast. So, let’s go. (more…)
There is one more projection left to assess in the English professional game this season: the 2013-14 English Premier League.Here is what we projected at the start of the season: And here is the final league table: Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts Manchester City 38 27 5 6 102 37 65 86 […]
We continue our review of the projections we made for the 2013-14 European season by looking at England’s Football League Championship. Here is what we projected at the start of the season: And here is the final table: Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts Leicester City 46 31 9 6 83 43 40 […]
We continue our review of the projections we made for the 2013-14 European season by looking at England’s Football League One.Here is what we projected at the start of the season:And here is the final league table: GP W D L GF GA GD Pts Wolverhampton Wanderers 46 31 10 5 89 31 58 103 […]
At the start of the 2013-14 European football season, I published a series of pre-season projections for over 30 league competitions that follow the European calendar (August to June). You can read the initial post in the series but I’ll repeat the methodology again.To make these projections we first project the goals scored and allowed […]
It’s time to put forward our league projection for the 2013-14 Barclays Premier League. Once again, these projections are a combination of expected goal statistics based on statistical output in previous seasons and the current squad (thanks to Aaron Nielsen) and a Pythagorean projection of team records based on expected goal statistics. So here’s how […]
The Spanish Primera — La Liga — premieres this weekend, and the Segunda starts tonight. So it’s a good time to present our league projections for 2013-14.Segunda División We project that Sporting Gijón will be promoted to the 2014-15 Primera as champions. Mallorca and Real Zaragoza will be involved in a two-way fight for promotion […]
We now move into projecting the league outcomes for the English leagues, and we start with the three divisions of the Football League below the Premier League. The season kicked off last weekend, but the projections aren’t going to be affected by one match.Again, if you want to know how we did these projections, consult […]
This is Part 4 of our European league projections, and we start down under with the Australian A-League, then focus on selected leagues in Central Europe, and finish with Italy, which isn’t in Central Europe but close enough.Again, if you want to know how we come up with these projections, we explain them in Part […]
