I’m a naturally curious guy, and the other day my curiosity guided me to weather conditions at sporting events. I was on a site called British Weather Services which is a group of private sector meteorologists who provide forecasts and consulting services for a variety of clients in the UK, sports bettors among them. My […]
In my post a couple of weeks back on adjusted plus/minus, I said that I wasn’t comfortable with the idea of zeroing out the appearance index for players who were sent off in a football match, but hadn’t come up with a suitable alternative. I’ve arrived upon an alternative now, so I’ll update the model […]
In my previous post on the adjusted plus/minus (APM) metric I displayed the top and bottom twenty in terms of that number. The post was way too long to hold the full list, so I’m going to display it here.I also decided to employ a cutoff for the amount of playing time required to have […]
It’s been several years since I’ve last written about the adjusted plus/minus problem in soccer — almost four years ago in fact. I had given a link to early work done by the late Climbing The Ladder blog and referenced a couple of presentations by researchers at conferences (Joe Sill and Wayne Winston), but said […]
Like many of the visitors to this site, I eagerly awaited the release of the MCFC Analytics dataset. I don’t expect everyone to agree with me, but I’ll just get to the point and say it: the basic dataset that MCFC and Opta have released is simply not good enough. (more…)
Below is the final Pythagorean table for the 2011-12 English Premier League which concluded today (13 May). The league Pythagorean exponent is 1.70.Manchester City are the new champions of England, confirmed in sensational fashion in the final minute of the season. This league title is no less than what they have deserved based on their […]
Manchester City retook the Premier League lead with their 1-0 win over Manchester United tonight. But how are they doing in the league Pythagorean with two matches left?I recompiled the Pythagorean for results including tonight’s match. The standard league Pythagorean exponent is 1.70. At the previous table on 25 March, City were at a +2 […]
Below is the Pythagorean table for the 2011-12 English Premier League season, for matches played up to 25 March 2012. The standard league Pythagorean exponent of 1.70 is used.The league at the three-quarter mark can be described by the surges of Manchester United and Arsenal. City are playing well enough to be in the lead, […]
