We continue our review of the projections we made for the 2013-14 European season by looking at England’s Football League One.Here is what we projected at the start of the season:And here is the final league table: GP W D L GF GA GD Pts Wolverhampton Wanderers 46 31 10 5 89 31 58 103 […]
I didn’t do much updating on the ResultsPage site this season so I didn’t track the Pythagorean table as I did in previous seasons. But now that the 2013-14 English Premier League is over, I want to take a look at the final Pythagorean table to see if the over- and under-performing teams match up […]
At the start of the 2013-14 European football season, I published a series of pre-season projections for over 30 league competitions that follow the European calendar (August to June). You can read the initial post in the series but I’ll repeat the methodology again.To make these projections we first project the goals scored and allowed […]
Since September of last year, the Soccermetrics API has been in a “semi-public” beta. What that meant was that if you expressed interest in the API, you would send an email to request an authentication credential and you would receive one. It was a manual process, to be sure, but it kept the list of users […]
Effective today, the Football Match Result Database (FMRD) will now be known as Marcotti.I tend not to put much imagination into naming software packages. I find it difficult to think of a clever name on demand, and at any rate, I prefer to channel that imagination into writing better software code. (That famous saying about […]
I’m a naturally curious guy, and the other day my curiosity guided me to weather conditions at sporting events. I was on a site called British Weather Services which is a group of private sector meteorologists who provide forecasts and consulting services for a variety of clients in the UK, sports bettors among them. My […]
In my post a couple of weeks back on adjusted plus/minus, I said that I wasn’t comfortable with the idea of zeroing out the appearance index for players who were sent off in a football match, but hadn’t come up with a suitable alternative. I’ve arrived upon an alternative now, so I’ll update the model […]
These are the show notes for Episode #10 of the Soccermetrics Podcast, with guest Jonathan Gruhl. This interview was recorded on 10 March 2014 from my Atlanta office.Jonathan Gruhl is a fellow Stanford engineering graduate who has applied qualitative analysis to a variety of fields in his career, from management consulting to finance to sports. He […]
At the start of the 2013-14 European club season we presented league projections for over 30 competitions throughout the world. We repeat the process as the spring-to-fall leagues kick off, starting with Major League Soccer.I thank Aaron Nielsen for his work in creating expected goals for all of the teams in the league and for his […]
In my previous post on the adjusted plus/minus (APM) metric I displayed the top and bottom twenty in terms of that number. The post was way too long to hold the full list, so I’m going to display it here.I also decided to employ a cutoff for the amount of playing time required to have […]
