As Superliga Argentina returns to competition from its summer break, who were — statistically — the best goalkeepers in terms of actual and expected saves and goals allowed? For this analysis I consider all goalkeepers who appeared in a minimum of 630 minutes in the league, or seven full matches. Goalkeepers in general play a […]
The recently concluded 2018 Copa Libertadores saw a pair of Argentine goalkeepers in the media spotlight: River Plate’s Franco Armani and Boca Juniors’ Agustín Rossi. Both ‘keepers made their share of howlers and brilliant saves during the tournament, but they weren’t dominant figures of the competition. The expected goalkeeping statistics provides some support for this […]
Jorge Sampaoli, manager of Argentina’s national team, announced his preliminary squad list for the 2018 FIFA World Cup earlier this week. The fact that no fewer than seven players currently in Superliga were in the group of 35 raised more than a few eyebrows, but few were more surprising than River Plate’s Franco Armani.Armani joined […]
In my most recent post, I presented some technical adjustments to my Expected Saves model which resulted in much more interesting (and meaningful) results than the previous version. Last August I used the previous version of the model to evaluate goalkeeper performance in last season’s Primera División. I’m anxious to see how the findings change […]
Last August, I wrote something about my expected saves model and used it to assess goalkeeper performance in Argentina’s Primera División. To be honest, I was deeply unsatisfied with the model. It yielded a very optimistic expectation of saves made and as a result the expected goals allowed was extremely low. Every goalkeeper in the list […]
My previous post presented my Expected Saves model, and I thank everyone for the response and interest when I tweeted it a few days ago. In this post I’ll apply this model to goalkeeper performance in the previous Primera División championship in Argentina.This analysis takes DataFactory’s match event data from the tournament and calculates expected […]
When I first wrote about expected goals a few months ago, I said that the idea of expectation had spread into analysis of other plays and events in a football game — assists, passes, penalty kicks, even defensive movements. In this post I’m going to write about statistical expectations at the #1 position: expected goalkeeper […]
