Pythagorean table for 2010-11 Italian Serie A (2011-03-11)

Below is the Pythagorean table for the 2010-11 Italian Serie A season, for matches played up to 11 March 2011.  The league Pythagorean exponent is 1.70.  I use points earned on the field of play, so Bologna's point deductions are not taken into account.

  League Table Pythagorean
Team GP W D L GF GA GD Pts W D L Pts Δ
Milan 28 18 7 3 50 20 +30 61 17 7 4 58 +3
Internazionale 29 17 6 6 55 32 +23 57 16 7 6 55 +2
Napoli 28 16 5 7 41 25 +16 53 14 8 6 50 +3
Lazio 28 15 6 7 35 23 +12 51 13 8 7 47 +4
Udinese 28 15 5 8 50 30 +20 50 15 7 6 52 -2
Roma 28 13 7 8 43 39 +4 46 11 7 10 40 +6
Juventus 28 11 8 9 41 35 +6 41 12 7 9 43 -2
Palermo 28 12 4 12 44 45 -1 40 11 7 10 40 +0
Bologna 28 10 9 9 31 36 -5 39 9 8 11 35 +4
Cagliari 28 11 6 11 35 30 +5 39 11 8 9 41 -2
Fiorentina 28 9 10 9 32 29 +3 37 11 8 9 41 -4
Genoa 28 9 8 11 27 32 -5 35 8 9 11 33 +2
Chievo 28 7 11 10 28 30 -2 32 9 9 10 36 -4
Sampdoria 28 7 10 11 25 32 -7 31 8 9 11 33 -2
Catania 28 7 8 13 24 38 -14 29 7 8 13 29 +0
Parma 28 6 11 11 27 38 -11 29 7 8 13 29 +0
Cesena 28 7 7 14 23 38 -15 28 6 8 14 26 +2
Lecce 28 7 7 14 31 50 -19 28 7 7 14 28 +0
Brescia 29 6 8 15 23 36 -13 26 7 9 13 30 -4
Bari 28 3 7 18 15 42 -27 16 4 8 16 20 -4

The top four teams are slightly outperforming the expectations from their goal statistics, but Roma stand out as the most overachieving side of the championship.  It's not going to help them this season (15 points behind Milan, and seven out of third place), but they could be one of the teams to watch next season provided that they are able to maintain their squad.  At the other end of the achievement scale, Brescia, Bari, Fiorentina, and Chievo stand out, but the underperformance hurts Brescia more.  That missed penalty at the end of last night's match would mean the difference in their relegation fight.

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