Here is the final Pythagorean table for this season's German Bundesliga: Team GP GF GA Pts Pythag +/- Bayern Munich 34 72 31 70 71 -1 Schalke 04 34 53 31 65 61 +4 Werder Bremen 34 71 40 61 65 -4 Bayer Leverkusen 34 65 38 59 63 -4 Borussia Dortmund 34 54 42 […]
There are a few more Pythagorean tables that I should present in the interests of completeness. Here are the final results for the Turkish Super Lig: Team GP GF GA Pts Pythag +/- Bursaspor 34 65 26 75 71 +4 Fenerbahçe 34 61 28 74 68 +6 Galatasaray 34 61 35 64 63 +1 Beşiktaş […]
It's been about a month since my most recent post related to the Football Match Result Database, so I'd like to give an update on what I've been doing since then.In March I bought a book on relational database design and completed a specifications document for the FMRD. In April I bought another book and […]
I'm a big enthusiast of the International Science and Engineering Fair, and not just because I was a finalist and then a judge. It's a chance to meet a collection of highly talented and highly self-motivated high school students presenting some fascinating projects in math, science, and engineering. To be sure, there are a fair […]
I've been looking at the MFLS statistics and I was thinking of a quick way to assess the value of my players relative to the rest of the fantasy market. I decided to borrow one of the more popular terms from stock market investing to do this — the Price/Earnings ratio. It's really simple, so […]
I had made a mistake in my computation of the Pythagorean. There wasn't an issue with the formula itself; I hadn't calculated the win/draw probabilities out to enough goals. I increased the upper limit to ten to account for the heavy results seen in the Eredivisie and recalculated the Eredivisie table. The results were amazing: […]
Following up on a promise I made earlier this week, here is the final Pythagorean for this season's English Premier League. Team GP GF GA Pts Pythag +/- Chelsea 38 103 32 86 88 -2 Manchester United 38 86 28 85 86 -1 Arsenal 38 83 41 75 76 -1 Tottenham Hotspur 38 67 41 […]
My last post has sparked a question in my soccermetric mind: Are there common features in the offensive and defensive goal distributions for teams with large Pythagorean variances? The Soccer Pythagorean works well at assessing the level of team performance relative to expectations from their goal statistics. It can even predict point totals within a […]
I am so fascinated by Ajax's performance in the league this season, and I'm intrigued that there was such a large gap between the Pythagorean estimate and the actual point total. To be sure, FC Twente's performance also greatly outperformed their Pythagorean estimate. But Ajax's record deserves closer scrutiny because their goalscoring record was so […]
I can't quite believe this has happened — I got top score in the MFLS Prediction League last weekend! When I submitted my score predictions I had a reasonably good feeling about them given the matchups and the scoring trends of the teams. But I couldn't believe it when I saw the final scores come […]
