Pythagorean 2.0 Projections: 2009-2010 French Ligue 1
Categories: Soccer Pythagorean: Tables
Following up on my previous post, here are the updated Pythagorean Projections for the 2009-2010 French Ligue 1 at the halfway mark.
| Club |
GP | GF |
GA |
Actual Pts |
Predicted Pts |
+/- Point Differential |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 19 | 32 | 12 | 43 | 40 | +3 |
| Lille | 19 | 37 | 19 | 34 | 37 | -3 |
| Montpellier | 18 | 26 | 21 | 33 | 28 | +5 |
| Marseille | 18 | 30 | 20 | 32 | 31 | +1 |
| Auxerre | 19 | 19 | 15 | 32 | 29 | +3 |
| Lyon | 19 | 31 | 26 | 30 | 29 | +1 |
| PSG | 19 | 31 | 18 | 29 | 35 | -6 |
| Lorient | 19 | 29 | 22 | 29 | 31 | -2 |
| Rennes | 19 | 24 | 19 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| Valenciennes | 19 | 30 | 26 | 28 | 29 | -1 |
| Monaco | 18 | 20 | 22 | 27 | 23 | +4 |
| Nancy | 19 | 26 | 29 | 26 | 24 | +2 |
| Lens | 19 | 19 | 24 | 26 | 22 | +4 |
| Toulouse | 19 | 19 | 17 | 25 | 27 | -2 |
| Sochaux | 17 | 17 | 21 | 25 | 20 | +5 |
| Nice | 19 | 20 | 32 | 22 | 19 | +3 |
| Le Mans | 19 | 17 | 28 | 16 | 18 | -2 |
| Saint-Etienne | 19 | 11 | 26 | 16 | 14 | +2 |
| Boulougne | 18 | 15 | 35 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| Grenoble | 19 | 10 | 33 | 7 | 11 | -4 |
Overachieving teams include Sochaux, Lens, Monaco, and Montpellier, while the big underachiever in the Ligue 1 (statistically, of course) has been PSG. Grenoble are way off their Pythagorean expectation but it would make no difference to their league position.
