Final Pythagorean table for 2010-11 Spanish Segunda División

I promised some of my Spanish readers that I would post this, and I'm finally able to do it now.

Below is the final Pythagorean table for the 2010-11 Spanish Segunda División, whose regular season concluded last weekend.  The league Pythagorean exponent is 1.70.

The league Pythagorean confirms Betis' deserved promotion based on their performance throughout the season, but the race for the second promotion place should have been more of a fight between Rayo Vallecano and Granada.  I would have liked to have developed Pythagorean tables for this league at other points of the season to find out if Rayo surged toward the end or Granada stagnated at some point.  Elche and Granada will playoff for the final promotion place, which appears to correspond well with the relative performance of the promotion playoff teams.  Granada-Celta was a toss up between two teams that underperformed (Granada won on penalties), while Elche-Valladolid matched up teams going in slightly different directions (Elche won 3-2 on aggregate).

Looking further down the table, I am intrigued by the performances of Recreativo and Cartagena.  Recre had the best defense in Segunda (mean and variance), yet finished in mid-table because of their inability to score.  Twenty draws and a Pythagorean residual of -5 told their story.  Cartagena had one of the worst defensive records in the league, yet managed to sneak enough 1-0 wins to finish mid-table with a Pythagorean residual of +9. 

The three relegated teams — Tenerife, Ponferradina, and Albacete — had poor seasons that were confirmed by their Pythagorean residuals.  Sometimes relegated teams with very negative residuals bounce back to the upper division immediately, but Spain's lower divisions are harder to get out of.  It will be interesting to look at the performance of the relegated teams in Segunda B next season.

  League Table Pythagorean
Team GP W D L GF GA GD Pts W D L Pts Δ
Betis 42 25 8 9 85 44 +41 83 24 9 9 81 +2
Rayo Vallecano 42 23 10 9 73 48 +25 79 21 10 11 73 +6
Barcelona B 42 20 11 11 85 62 +23 71 21 9 12 72 -1
Elche 42 18 15 9 55 42 +13 69 18 12 12 66 +3
Granada 42 18 14 10 71 47 +24 68 21 10 11 73 -5
Celta de Vigo 42 17 16 9 62 43 +19 67 20 11 11 71 -4
Valladolid 42 19 9 14 65 51 +14 66 19 11 12 68 -2
Xerez 42 17 9 16 60 64 -4 60 15 10 17 55 +5
Alcorcón 42 17 7 18 57 52 +5 58 17 11 14 62 -4
Numancia 42 17 6 19 65 63 +2 57 16 10 16 58 -1
Girona 42 15 12 15 58 56 +2 57 16 11 15 59 -2
Recreativo 42 12 20 10 44 37 +7 56 16 13 13 61 -5
Cartagena 42 16 8 18 48 63 -15 56 12 11 19 47 +9
Huesca 42 13 16 13 39 45 -6 55 13 13 16 52 +3
Las Palmas 42 13 15 14 56 71 -15 54 13 10 19 49 +5
Córdoba 42 13 13 16 58 63 -5 52 15 10 17 55 -3
Villarreal B 42 15 6 21 43 63 -20 51 11 11 20 44 +7
Gimnàstic 42 12 13 17 37 45 -8 49 12 13 17 49 +0
Salamanca 42 13 7 22 46 68 -22 46 11 11 20 44 +2
Tenerife 42 9 11 22 42 66 -24 38 10 11 21 41 -3
Ponferradina 42 5 19 18 36 63 -27 34 9 11 22 38 -4
Albacete 42 7 11 24 35 64 -29 32 9 11 22 38 -6

 

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