My talk entitled "Entrepreneurship and Soccer Analytics" that I gave at Florida State's Sports Management Conference is now available here as a PDF. It will also be available on the public FTP site of Soccermetrics Research & Consulting in the Presentations folder. My thanks to Dr. Ryan Rodenberg for extending the invitation to present. It was [...]
It's taken a very long time to get to this point, but my paper on the Soccer Pythagorean has been published in the recent edition of the Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports. You can find a link to the paper here. Thanks to all who helped bring this about, and it is my hope [...]
Last night (actually early this morning) on my Twitter feed I intimated that there would be some big news forthcoming on this site. Now that I've gotten some sleep, I can reveal it to you. I learned last night that my paper on the soccer Pythagorean estimation will appear in the Journal of Quantitative Analysis [...]
I completed my write-up of my revised derivations of the soccer Pythagorean formula. It fixes the problems that I had with overpredicting points and calculating win and draw probabilities that exceeded unity. Maybe I should come up with a better name, because it no longer looks like the Pythagorean equation. Here's the document link: PythagDerivationVersion2p0.pdf [...]
A few weeks ago — four weeks ago, in fact — I said that I would post my submitted paper on the Soccer Pythagorean that was rejected by the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference by the end of the week. Well, a week is a long time in politics and in this site. I apologize [...]
I've reached the final step in my effort to test my extended Pythagorean formula, using the 2008-09 English Premier League as a test case. There was a last-minute snag in my plans, however. I was looking over my equations one more time, and I decided to re-derive everything from the beginning, which is a good [...]
I completed my Soccer Pythagorean document a couple of days ago, but for some reason I had the hardest time developing a PDF file (I used LyX). I figured it out tonight and I'm linking it to the site now. I greatly appreciate your comments. Download PythagDerivation MORE (23 October, 10:50pm): I'm compiling some score [...]
