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Are there common features of teams with large Pythagorean variances?

My last post has sparked a question in my soccermetric mind: Are there common features in the offensive and defensive goal distributions for teams with large Pythagorean variances?  The Soccer Pythagorean works well at assessing the level of team performance relative to expectations from their goal statistics.  It can even predict point totals within a […]

A closer look at Ajax’s goal performance

I am so fascinated by Ajax's performance in the league this season, and I'm intrigued that there was such a large gap between the Pythagorean estimate and the actual point total.  To be sure, FC Twente's performance also greatly outperformed their Pythagorean estimate.  But Ajax's record deserves closer scrutiny because their goalscoring record was so […]