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The poster and talk abstracts for the 2015 NESSIS — the New England Symposium on Statistics in Sports — are now available ahead of the event which will be held at Harvard on 26 September. The conference is known for its presentations that advanced statistical and data science methods to problems in a diverse collection […]
Following on from my most recent post, I present league projections for the 2015-16 English Premier League.A lot of people are visiting this site for the first time, so an explanation of these projections is in order. These league projections are a combination of expected goal statistics based on statistical output in previous seasons and […]
The 2015-16 European season is here, and it’s time to repeat a feature of the site: preseason league projection tables. This post will feature projections for the Dutch Eredivisie which starts this weekend.A lot of people are visiting this site for the first time, so an explanation of these projections is in order. These league […]
Shmueli, G., “To Explain or To Predict?”, Statistical Science, 25(3): 289-310, 2010. [PDF][Research Page]Summary: This publication examines the fundamental and practical differences between the use of statistical and other empirical methods for prediction and causal explanation. The article’s thesis is that statistical modeling, from the early stages of study design and data collection, to choice of model […]
The preseason projections for the 2014-15 English Premier League generated a lot of interest, and an equal amount of criticism. It’s been a long nine months since the season started, and now that we’re at its end, it’s time to evaluate the league projections against the final reality.There are many people who are coming to […]