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We’re now four rounds into Argentina’s newly-branded Superliga competition, which is a little premature to predict a champion (although there are some candidates) but not so much for seeing some managerial changes (three changes at San Lorenzo, Estudiantes, and most recently Defensa y Justicia). Furthermore, some storylines are starting to emerge from the opening matchdays: […]
I haven’t written about my software projects in a while, so I’m taking a moment to do so here.My analytics work is supported by data and software written to produce analytical content from them. The software, which I’ve called Marcotti (formerly Football Match Result Database), is a library that creates match databases, loads data into […]
Continuing from my previous post, here is the list of expected saves and goals allowed for all the teams in Argentina’s Primera División 2016-17. Own goals have been ignored, but penalties have not. There may be some discrepancies between the total shots on goal as calculated by DataFactory and by me.The total expected goals allowed […]
My previous post presented my Expected Saves model, and I thank everyone for the response and interest when I tweeted it a few days ago. In this post I’ll apply this model to goalkeeper performance in the previous Primera División championship in Argentina.This analysis takes DataFactory’s match event data from the tournament and calculates expected […]
When I first wrote about expected goals a few months ago, I said that the idea of expectation had spread into analysis of other plays and events in a football game — assists, passes, penalty kicks, even defensive movements. In this post I’m going to write about statistical expectations at the #1 position: expected goalkeeper […]